Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.435160 0.504934 0.581678 0.672264 0.776182 0.891582 1.029366
2025-05-18 0.314713 0.407728 0.520974 0.668590 0.855505 1.083854 1.383526
2025-05-25 0.246902 0.346452 0.476850 0.659314 0.907088 1.230761 1.684461
2025-06-01 0.202975 0.304209 0.445031 0.653835 0.953934 1.367722 1.979216
2025-06-08 0.166405 0.264384 0.408106 0.632329 0.970960 1.460302 2.217252
2025-06-15 0.153294 0.256185 0.414185 0.671708 1.077471 1.687725 2.669017
2025-06-22 0.129484 0.227225 0.384088 0.650713 1.088180 1.771593 2.911649
2025-06-29 0.110440 0.202899 0.357539 0.630875 1.096536 1.850016 3.150253
2025-07-06 0.095497 0.183207 0.335718 0.615367 1.108817 1.933816 3.402936
2025-07-13 0.087406 0.174468 0.331324 0.628719 1.170482 2.103460 3.812650
2025-07-20 0.083048 0.171967 0.337512 0.661192 1.268348 2.342637 4.362309
2025-07-27 0.077187 0.165688 0.335821 0.678606 1.340150 2.541791 4.858132
2025-08-03 0.070287 0.156590 0.328075 0.684406 1.392427 2.713437 5.325673
2025-08-10 0.063183 0.146085 0.316322 0.681065 1.427010 2.856099 5.753949
2025-08-17 0.056408 0.135259 0.302481 0.671641 1.448124 2.974425 6.145625
2025-08-24 0.050828 0.126244 0.291227 0.666065 1.475995 3.107607 6.577181
2025-08-31 0.044632 0.114870 0.273411 0.644177 1.467216 3.166440 6.864417
2025-09-07 0.043714 0.115930 0.283283 0.684256 1.594664 3.513156 7.769579
2025-09-14 0.038637 0.106006 0.266843 0.662888 1.585232 3.574079 8.082943
2025-09-21 0.034242 0.097133 0.251724 0.642697 1.576043 3.634106 8.398714
2025-09-28 0.030610 0.089697 0.239111 0.626912 1.575101 3.711457 8.758136
2025-10-05 0.028918 0.087253 0.238564 0.640502 1.644490 3.950455 9.496473
2025-10-12 0.028306 0.087728 0.245491 0.673553 1.763851 4.312249 10.542192